Scoreboard
Every BUY signal the scanner emitted, scored on what price did afterwards. No look-ahead — a forward return only reads snapshots recorded after the call.
NEGATIVE EDGE
expectancy -2.2% per call, 95% CI [-4.1%, -0.3%]. These criteria lose money after costs.
Forward return by horizon
| horizon | cov | n | median | mean | win% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15m | 99% | 353 | -3% | +1393% | 31% |
| 1h | 96% | 340 | -4% | -6% | 32% |
| 6h | 77% | 273 | -10% | +8001% | 29% |
| 24h | 50% | 176 | -14% | +19960% | 37% |
Median = the middle outcome across all calls held to that horizon, after the cost haircut. Coverage below 100% = some tokens stopped being tracked before then.
Exit-rule simulation
| win rate | 34% |
| avg win / loss | +21% / -14% |
| expectancy / call | -2% |
| 95% confidence | -4% … -0% |
| profit factor | 0.77 |
| median hold | 66.7 min |
Each call walked forward snapshot by snapshot; first of +30% / −15% / timeout is the outcome.
Does a higher score pay?
| opp band | n | +1h | +6h | exit | win% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 75+ | 0 | — | — | — | — |
| 65–74 | 9 | -15% | -30% | -18% | 22% |
| 55–64 | 346 | -4% | -10% | -8% | 34% |
| 45–54 | 0 | — | — | — | — |
Every scored call grouped by its opportunity score at signal time. If the score carries predictive weight, the higher bands should read better than the lower ones.
Calls
355
3h
D
Degs On Silver
58
1h—
6h—
peak-3%
exit-4%
censored
3h
A
ALLINU
56
1h—
6h—
peak+10%
exit+3%
censored
3h
L
lock inu
59
1h-0%
6h—
peak+4%
exit-18%
sl
3h
E
Elon Coin
55
1h-8%
6h—
peak+8%
exit-8%
censored
3h
A
apeonfone
62
1h+4%
6h—
peak+4%
exit+4%
censored
4h
B
BIKE TYSON
57
1h-7%
6h—
peak+3%
exit-7%
censored
4h
A
Anonymous Cat
56
1h+9%
6h—
peak+9%
exit+9%
censored
4h
P
Pudgy Polly
56
1h-2%
6h—
peak+21%
exit-3%
censored
4h
C
Catecoin
59
1h-4%
6h—
peak-2%
exit-5%
censored
4h
E
embercurve
65
1h+6%
6h—
peak+8%
exit+2%
censored
4h
G
Grok Pot
60
1h+16%
6h—
peak+16%
exit+9%
censored
9h
B
bruh
58
1h—
6h—
peak-3%
exit-18%
sl
9h
O
OnlyX
56
1h—
6h-102%
peak+124%
exit+27%
tp
9h
E
Elon Coin
55
1h—
6h+79%
peak+80%
exit-18%
sl
9h
P
Paid
57
1h-3%
6h+115%
peak+122%
exit+27%
tp
10h
I
ISHOWSPEED
55
1h-28%
6h-50%
peak-6%
exit-18%
sl
11h
L
lock inu
58
1h+13%
6h-29%
peak+41%
exit-18%
sl
11h
U
USELESS COIN
56
1h-2%
6h+11%
peak-0%
exit-3%
censored
11h
S
STEVE
59
1h+7%
6h+9%
peak+9%
exit-4%
censored
11h
A
Anonymous Cat
61
1h+0%
6h+8%
peak+11%
exit+10%
censored
12h
T
TRUMP
56
1h-9%
6h—
peak+13%
exit-18%
sl
12h
M
Martians
56
1h-1%
6h—
peak-1%
exit-3%
censored
12h
H
Holdoween
55
1h-13%
6h—
peak+4%
exit-18%
sl
13h
I
ISHOWSPEED
57
1h-61%
6h—
peak-17%
exit-18%
sl
13h
B
Bitcat
56
1h-1%
6h—
peak+48%
exit+27%
tp
13h
P
pumpcat
57
1h+2%
6h—
peak+24%
exit-3%
censored
13h
E
ETAC
57
1h-38%
6h—
peak+20%
exit-18%
sl
13h
C
Catecoin
56
1h-0%
6h—
peak+6%
exit-5%
censored
14h
B
BURSTCOIN
58
1h-9%
6h-23%
peak+1%
exit-18%
sl
14h
B
bruh
63
1h-8%
6h-14%
peak-3%
exit-14%
timeout
14h
A
Aqua
56
1h-11%
6h-15%
peak-1%
exit-15%
timeout
14h
G
Grok Pot
55
1h-0%
6h-37%
peak+36%
exit+27%
tp
14h
S
Stonklana
59
1h+20%
6h-3%
peak+230%
exit-18%
sl
14h
S
STONK
55
1h+2%
6h+14%
peak+1695459%
exit+27%
tp
15h
N
Nina
56
1h-17%
6h-73%
peak+22%
exit-18%
sl
15h
X
X DOGE
56
1h-102%
6h-102%
peak+47%
exit-18%
sl
15h
H
Holdoween
59
1h+1%
6h+10%
peak+36%
exit+27%
tp
15h
E
embercurve
55
1h+7%
6h+498836%
peak+27346591%
exit+27%
tp
15h
L
lock inu
57
1h+0%
6h-2%
peak+41%
exit+27%
tp
15h
B
BIKE TYSON
55
1h+13%
6h+26%
peak+70%
exit+27%
tp
16h
P
Paid
55
1h-1%
6h+16%
peak+53%
exit+27%
tp
17h
A
Anonymous Cat
60
1h+0%
6h+8%
peak+8%
exit+8%
timeout
17h
U
USELESS COIN
59
1h-3%
6h-5%
peak-1%
exit-5%
timeout
17h
S
STONK
58
1h+3%
6h+22%
peak+1840379%
exit+27%
tp
17h
P
Pump
56
1h-4%
6h-7%
peak+495498%
exit+27%
tp
18h
P
Pudgy Polly
66
1h-15%
6h-2%
peak+26%
exit-2%
timeout
18h
M
Martians
56
1h-2%
6h-4%
peak+1%
exit-4%
timeout
19h
B
BIKE TYSON
58
1h+11%
6h+18%
peak+76%
exit+27%
tp
19h
E
Elon Coin
57
1h-7%
6h-8%
peak+17%
exit-18%
sl
19h
B
BURSTCOIN
59
1h+13%
6h+16%
peak+46%
exit+27%
tp
20h
S
STONK
56
1h-4%
6h+7%
peak+1784805%
exit+27%
tp
20h
D
DOLLO ALL IN
56
1h-4%
6h-2%
peak-0%
exit-2%
timeout
20h
H
Holdoween
58
1h-19%
6h-25%
peak+2%
exit-18%
sl
20h
G
Grok Pot
59
1h+7%
6h-38%
peak+171%
exit+27%
tp
20h
X
XMoney
57
1h-102%
6h-102%
peak+34%
exit-18%
sl
20h
A
Anonymous Cat
64
1h-3%
6h+2%
peak+20%
exit+2%
timeout
21h
B
bruh
56
1h-12%
6h-31%
peak-1%
exit-18%
sl
21h
E
Elephant Shrew
56
1h+0%
6h-7%
peak+3%
exit-7%
timeout
E
Elephant Shrew
56
1h+0%
6h-7%
peak+3%
exit-7%
timeout
21h
J
Justin Sun Prize
57
1h+115%
6h-100%
peak+193%
exit-18%
sl
21h
N
Nina
60
1h+52%
6h+643%
peak+696%
exit+27%
tp
21h
D
dragonsfuckingcars
55
1h-14%
6h-19%
peak-3%
exit-18%
sl
21h
B
boby
56
1h-65%
6h-98%
peak-15%
exit-18%
sl
21h
P
Paid
58
1h-5%
6h+1%
peak+47%
exit-18%
sl
22h
U
USELESS COIN
55
1h-4%
6h-9%
peak-2%
exit-9%
timeout
22h
P
pill
60
1h+5%
6h-1%
peak+62%
exit-18%
sl
23h
A
Aqua
62
1h-26%
6h-94%
peak+44%
exit+27%
tp
23h
F
feg
56
1h-27%
6h-58%
peak+5%
exit-18%
sl
F
feg
56
1h-27%
6h-58%
peak+5%
exit-18%
sl
24h
S
StonkHouse
59
1h-4%
6h+3%
peak+42%
exit-18%
sl
24h
E
Elon Coin
55
1h+15%
6h+63%
peak+108%
exit+27%
tp
24h
B
Butterflycoin
61
1h-22%
6h-98%
peak+6%
exit-18%
sl
24h
U
USELESS COIN
56
1h-4%
6h-6%
peak-2%
exit-6%
timeout
24h
P
Paid
56
1h+9%
6h+39%
peak+54%
exit+27%
tp
24h
M
McCat
62
1h+1%
6h-12%
peak+5%
exit-12%
timeout
25h
E
Elizabeth Warren
60
1h-101%
6h-101%
peak+20%
exit-18%
sl
25h
B
bruh
56
1h-1%
6h-36%
peak-0%
exit-18%
sl
25h
C
Catecoin
55
1h+0%
6h-4%
peak+4%
exit-4%
timeout
26h
E
Elephant Shrew
58
1h+4%
6h+3%
peak+5%
exit+3%
timeout
E
Elephant Shrew
58
1h+4%
6h+3%
peak+5%
exit+3%
timeout
26h
D
DOLLO ALL IN
56
1h+4%
6h-5%
peak+8%
exit-5%
timeout
26h
M
McCat
55
1h-12%
6h-26%
peak+0%
exit-18%
sl
27h
T
The Black Bullcoin
59
1h-101%
6h-101%
peak+8%
exit-18%
sl
27h
A
Anonymous Cat
56
1h-4%
6h-10%
peak+13%
exit-10%
timeout
27h
O
OTC
63
1h—
6h-11%
peak+0%
exit-13%
timeout
27h
M
Mizo
55
1h—
6h—
peak-2%
exit-5%
censored
27h
P
PAIDHUB
55
1h-101%
6h—
peak+8%
exit-18%
sl
28h
P
Paid Elon
62
1h-103%
6h—
peak-5%
exit-18%
sl
28h
P
Pudgy Penguins
56
1h—
6h—
peak-3%
exit-4%
censored
28h
C
Catecoin
57
1h+15%
6h+20%
peak+23%
exit+20%
timeout
28h
F
Frogo
56
1h-102%
6h—
peak-2%
exit-18%
sl
28h
E
Elon Coin
58
1h+31%
6h+15%
peak+53%
exit+27%
tp
28h
L
Lootr
58
1h+67%
6h—
peak+101%
exit+27%
tp
28h
R
Rich Debt
59
1h-9%
6h—
peak-2%
exit-9%
censored
29h
P
Paid
57
1h+8%
6h-8%
peak+13%
exit-18%
sl
29h
B
BRAIN
55
1h-7%
6h—
peak+42%
exit+27%
tp
29h
A
ANTMINER
59
1h+2%
6h—
peak+2%
exit+2%
censored
29h
E
Elephant Shrew
55
1h-28%
6h-13%
peak+6%
exit-18%
sl
E
Elephant Shrew
55
1h-28%
6h-13%
peak+6%
exit-18%
sl
29h
B
BIKE TYSON
56
1h-10%
6h+3%
peak+18%
exit+3%
timeout
29h
B
baton
59
1h+13%
6h—
peak+20%
exit+18%
censored
29h
S
STONK
55
1h-0%
6h+7%
peak+1825643%
exit+27%
tp
29h
M
MUSEBOOK
56
1h-4%
6h—
peak+476%
exit+27%
tp
30h
M
Martians
62
1h-6%
6h—
peak+0%
exit-9%
censored